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EUBCE 2025 - Marco BUFFI - The Role of Biofuels and Bioenergy in the Decarbonisation of the EU Energy System: insights from the POTEnCIA model

The Role of Biofuels and Bioenergy in the Decarbonisation of the EU Energy System: insights from the POTEnCIA model

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Biomass availability perspectives for bioenergy and bioeconomy

The Role of Biofuels and Bioenergy in the Decarbonisation of the EU Energy System: insights from the POTEnCIA model

Short Introductive summary

This work presents an in-depth analysis of the potential role of biofuels and bioenergy in achieving the European Union's decarbonization goals as set out in the European Green Deal. Utilizing the Policy Oriented Tool for Energy and Climate Change Impact Assessment (POTEnCIA), a hybrid partial equilibrium model developed by the Joint Research Centre (JRC), the paper evaluates alternative pathways for the EU's energy system. The study finds that the consumption of biofuels in the EU is projected to increase significantly by 2050, with a particular rise in advanced biofuels production, while traditional biofuels from food and feed crops will diminish. The paper also suggests that bioenergy will continue to play a significant role in electricity and heat generation, with bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) becoming increasingly important by 2050. This research is intended to inform EU policy decisions, identifying investment needs for a sustainable energy transition and highlighting the role of bioenergy as a key component of the EU's renewable energy portfolio.

Presenter

Moderator portrait

Marco BUFFI

European Commission Joint Research Centre, Institute for Energy - Renewable Energy Unit, ITALY

Presenter's biography

Doctor of Industrial Engineering, specialized in bioenergy, biofuels, hydrogen and alternative fuels. He is an expert in technological and energy assessments for such categories, as well as in their GHGs emissions accounting. He is currently scientific project officer at JRC Ispra.

Biographies and Short introductive summaries are supplied directly by presenters and are published here unedited


Co-authors:

M. Buffi, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, ITALY
R. Salvucci, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Seville, ITALY
N. Scarlat, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, ITALY
M. Roszai, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Seville, ITALY
M. Wegener, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Seville, ITALY
F. Neuwahl, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Seville, ITALY

Session reference: AP.1.2