Register Now

EUBCE 2026 - Adriano ENSINAS - Multi-period Optimization of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Supply Chain from Macaúba Oil at the Regional Level

Multi-period Optimization of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Supply Chain from Macaúba Oil at the Regional Level

 Print

Processes and concepts

Multi-period Optimization of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Supply Chain from Macaúba Oil at the Regional Level

Short Introductive summary

The study evaluates macaúba as a feedstock for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), considering cultivation, HEFA oil conversion, emissions mitigation, and the use of optimization models for logistics and financial planning. With aviation responsible for 3% of global CO2 emissions, macaúba is a promising biomass due to its high oil productivity, adaptability, and carbon sequestration potential. A Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model was applied to optimize SAF production, integrating processing flows, costs, revenues, emissions balance, and transport logistics. 17.6 million hectares of degraded land were identified as suitable for cultivation, of which 11 million hectares could meet projected demand, with a carbon sequestration potential of -0.3063 tCO2 per t of fruit. At a SAF price of USD 700/t, the model achieves an IRR of 10%, a minimum selling price of USD 354/t, and meets the projected demand of 8.2 billion liters by 2037. The main production hubs are in Minas Gerais, Bahia, Rio Grande do Norte, and Mato Grosso do Sul, with a total investment of 21 billion USD and a NPV of 24 billion USD.

Presenter

Moderator portrait

Adriano ENSINAS

Federal University of Lavras, Engineering Dpt., BRAZIL

Presenter's biography

Associate Professor at UFLA with degrees from UNICAMP. He has conducted research in Spain and Switzerland (EPFL), taught at UFABC, and collaborates internationally. CNPq researcher since 2016, with numerous publications in high-impact journals.

Biographies and Short introductive summaries are supplied directly by presenters and are published here unedited


Co-authors:

A. Ensinas, Federal University of Lavras, BRAZIL
T.M. Ribeiro, Federal University of Lavras, BRAZIL
H. Khalid, Federal University of Lavras, BRAZIL
V.F. Garcia, Federal University of ABC, Santo André, BRAZIL
J.E. Infante-Cuan, Federal University of ABC, Santo André, BRAZIL
T.A. Soares, Federal University of Lavras, BRAZIL

Session reference: 3CV.4.2